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Investment presentation · 2018-10-09

Doppio: Pershing Square's Starbucks Presentation

Pershing Square Capital Management · Bill Ackman

Starbucks Brand Return on capital Classic SBUX

AI summary and analysis

Ackman presented the Starbucks investment thesis at Grant's Fall 2018 Conference, titled Doppio, focusing on the brand, U.S. same-store sales recovery, international expansion, capital returns and management execution.

Key points

  • The presentation was part of Pershing's return to premium consumer brands after its controversial investment, with a style that was decidedly more skewed towards long-term corporate quality.
  • The core logic is not that Starbucks is cheap, but that the brand, store economy, digitalization, cold drink innovation and China/international expansion can support long-term compound interest.
  • The demonstration puts operating improvements and capital returns together, indicating that what Ackman values ​​is not a single activist action, but management's ability to continuously increase per-share value.
  • The information also shows how Pershing uses a large amount of public data to analyze single-store economics, same-store sales, authorized stores and repurchases, rather than just telling the brand story.
  • This material is suitable for standard canon because it represents Ackman's second phase of more accessible, higher-quality asset-oriented investment cases.

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